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2024-12-14 04:32:20

My thinking is that the current market does not have the characteristics of ending the rally. Although the A50 futures index fell more than 3%, the intraday index of A shares did not turn green.The first message, today, the morning market in call auction opened 2.58% higher, which is more common in the historical market. A-shares have opened more than 230 times since 1990, and the increase of 2%-3% has dropped to 55%. If it is more than 4% higher than that on November 8, the winning rate is less than 50%.


1. The market covered the gap on Wednesday and supported at 3400 points. The rest of this week fluctuated upward. After the market walked out of the day trip, the irrational rise today, including the differences after the high opening and the fall, was digested in the remaining days, and the index rose above 3500 points in the later period.The second message is that the market rose to 3494.87 points today, a step away from 3500 points.Then, the early morning index opened higher and went lower, and the late session accelerated, which means that the market divergence will affect tomorrow's market. Can be known from two pieces of information.


There are two evolution processes in my forecast of the market outlook:If today's rising market will bring the trend of stepping back to 3230 points for the later trend, then the high point of the market today and the high point of 3509 points in November are expected to form a double-top shape, which is the signal that the current round of rising at 3227 points is over.Then, the early morning index opened higher and went lower, and the late session accelerated, which means that the market divergence will affect tomorrow's market. Can be known from two pieces of information.

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